The coal market is changing and companies are looking to industry leaders for direction and guidance. The coal industry has never faced so much adversity on so many fronts in such a short time and there’s never been a more testing time to be in the coal industry. Now is the time to recognise these shifts and to bring the coal industry together, to tackle these challenges, together.
That’s why Coaltrans is leading the way in creating a dynamic conference for growth and innovation.
The World Coal Leaders Network will take place at the Fairmont Barcelona from 18- 20 October 2015, with more than 500 leaders from the international coal industry set to attend. The global conference is the must attend event for smarter networking, invaluable industry insight and taking your business forward.
Coaltrans Conferences has sought to create a ‘totally new environment or ecosystem’ for the event. It will be created in one space and will challenge the normal format of segregated plenary, breakouts and exhibition space, instead creating one 'dynamic ecosystem' where tough challenges facing the industry can be discussed.
Orson Francescone, managing director at Coaltrans Conferences, said: "The commodity industry is facing many changes on many fronts and for the leading industry event we felt we needed to reflect these changes in the format of the event. Also in recent years the way people consume information, network and exchange ideas at conferences is rapidly changing and the need for a more dynamic content and networking environment is becoming more apparent."
Sunday 18 October
15.00 - 19.00 Pre-registration
17.30 - 20-30 Ice-breaker reception
at a true Barcelona landmark, the iconic Museu Nacional d’Art de Catalunya for the welcome reception.
Monday 19 October
08.00 Registration and The Live Lounge™ open
09.30 Welcome and opening remarks
Orson Francescone, Managing Director, Coaltrans Conferences
Are coal prices now on a one-way trajectory?
Global seaborne trade dynamics and impact on Atlantic market
How much recovery is needed before spare supply capacity returns to the market?
Market outlook 2016
Dr. Fabio Gabrieli, Director, Mercuria Energy Trading
NEW: CEO Onstage Interviews
Award winning BBC Presenter Gavin Esler will interview world coal industry leaders . He is known for his inquisitive interviewing style, capable of drawing out the most useful information from some of the world’s business and political leaders. Previous interviewees of Gavin include President Clinton, Margaret Thatcher, Israel's Shimon Peres, David Cameron, and most recently, Dolly Parton and Angela Merkel.
Graham Weale, Chief Economist, RWE AG
Robert Murray, CEO, Murray Energy
Will Europe build any more coal-fired power stations?
Status of Europe’s existing coal-fired power stations – Retirement, coal to gas switching
Power stations that can function economically amid existing regulations
Could planned coal-fired power stations in Egypt, Morocco, Turkey etc. offer an additional 100mt demand?
Matthew Boyle, Principal Consultant, CRU
Panel discussion - Is coal still an attractive investment asset?
How far off is a structural rebalancing of coal supply?
Economy of scale – What size assets offer the best opportunities?
Will we see further assets sold off by diversified miners?
What hope can the Middle East offer in demand for significant coal volumes?
How vulnerable are coal companies to divestment campaigns?
Neil Passmore, CEO, Hannam & Partners
Fabian Kroeher, Founder & Managing Director, Byranston Resources
Nanda Menon, Managing Director, Investec
12.30 - 14.00 Networking lunch
Three month spot coal price forecast
Outlook for coal consumption and electricity generation in Western Europe, Mediterranean countries and Asia-Pacific
Regional inventory levels and supply availability
Influence of gas prices, transport costs and seasonal factors
Guillaume Perret, Director, Perret Associates
NEW: Oxford Style Debate
An Oxford Style Debate on the future for thermal coal trade
This house believes that the market will need an infrastructure-heavy greenfield thermal coal project again in future
How soon will structural oversupply come to an end?
How quickly can India ramp up its domestic production?
Will China become a net coal exporter?
Moderator: Neil Bradford, Chief Executive Officer, Argus Media Limited
Proposer: Jonny Sultoon, Research Director, Global Coal Markets, Wood Mackenzie
Opposer: Colin Hamilton, Head of Commodities Research, Macquarie Group Limited
15.30 Networking refreshment break
Each roundtable discussion will host 10 participants, led by an expert in the relevant field, and will last for one hour. At the end of the first hour participants will move to a new table, giving you the opportunity to attend two different roundtables in this two-hour session.
1 – How quickly are Turkey’s importing coal power plants set to come online?
Case study – Setting up long term supply agreements for ISKEN power plant
Imported coal sources – What are the opportunities for Turkey to increase competition and diversify suppliers?
Dr. Sirri Uyanik, General Manager/CEO, Isken-Turkey
2 – Coal market forecast
Evaluating signals for price recovery in 2016
Will India overtake China as a coal importer?
Dr. Fabio Gabrieli, Director, Mercuria Energy Trading
3– How bullish does one have to be to invest in coal in the current market?
Identifying a viable asset for investment in a down cycle
Ingo Hofmaier, Director, Hannam & Partners
4 - Coal vs gas burn in Europe, MENA and the US
Will coal to gas switching be a death knell for US producers?
Is coal becoming more attractive than gas across the Middle East?
Anne-Sophie Corbeau, Research Fellow, KAPSARC
5– How quickly can Egypt reach 60mt of solid fuel imports for its cement and power industry?
Role for traders as power and cement plants are required to import direct?
Impact of environmental law on move towards increased use of solid fuels
How much of the necessary transport infrastructure investment has been realised so far?
Waleed Abouraya, President & CEO, MEBPC – Egypt
6–Where in Africa offers the best coal investment opportunities based on existing infrastructure capacity?
Where are there gaps yet to be bridged between mine output/ capacity and transport linkage?
Opportunities to supply Eskom vs export trade
Assessing the competition - What are the barriers to entry for new market players?
Athol Emerton, Managing Director, LBH South Africa
Andre Boje, Independent
Followed by a summary of key conclusions by the roundtable leaders.
NEW: Brain Box™
New for 2015,the Brain Box™ will allow you to debate strategies around the burning questions that are impacting your business. With the help of an independent, objective facilitator you are guided to solutions that will ensure you maximise your company’s revenue opportunities.
Improving transparency and avoiding distortion forthe industry's price benchmarks and indices
Overcoming barriers to market entry in sale and transport of coal
Investment opportunities in international coal production
Each Brain Box™ discussion will last approximately 90 minutes. Operating on a first come, first served basis.
Places are limited to 20 delegates per session. Invitations will open on 1 September.
Tuesday 20 October
09.30 Welcome and opening remarks
Sarah Robertson, Head of Conference Production, Coaltrans Conferences
Scenarios for a global carbon-pricing system and impact on the coal industry
Is a global carbon pricing system realistic?
Scenarios for a global carbon pricing system to operate?
Potential impact on the coal industry – Should we be worried?
Trevor Sikorski, Director, Energy Aspects Ltd.
Panel discussion – India to double coal production by 2020 – Is this realistic?
An update on India’s coal auction process – How much has been tendered so far?
Will India continue its search for coal assets outside India?
Which suppliers are in the best position to fill India’s coal demand?
Status of India’s coke market and pressure caused by Chinese exports
Sabyasachi Mishra, Head – Minerals, Tata International
Kaamil Fareed, General Manager- Trading, Coal & Oil
10.30 Networking refreshment break
Calling the bottom in metcoal prices
Why is the latest step down in prices different?
Are any producers making money at these levels? Have all production cuts been made?
How long until the market rebounds? Metcoal price forecast 2015-2016
Ted O’Brien, CEO, Doyle Trading, Consultants
With Australian- Japanese benchmark losing relevance, what is the future for metcoal price realisation?
How soon could spot overtake term contracts in volumes traded?
Metallurgical coal demand and supply – Have prices reached the bottom?
Will there be a backlash against undercutting of Chinese producers?
Vera Blei, Editor, Steel First, a Metal Bulletin product
Panel discussion - The battle for market share among international metcoal suppliers
Outlook for metcoal tradeflows - Canada, Russia, US, Colombia and Australia
An update on spot vs contract market dynamics and impact on index liquidity
How much longer will the Chinese continue to produce at below-cost?
12.30 Networking lunch
1 – Ground-breaking changes in JPU coal procurement strategies - An update
Timeline for liberalisation of Japan's power market
Are Japanese consumers moving away from traditional high CV Australian coal?
Existing and planned coal-fired power plants - How much incremental demand growth can be expected?
2 – How quickly is Poland's coal sector adapting to recent regulatory requirements?
Draft import restrictions on Russian coal and impact on end user procurement sources
Restructuring of Kompania Weglowa - Will this create profitable mines?
Steps necessary to meet EU emission reduction targets and impact on import/ export dynamics
3– How are freight rates affecting coal supplier dominance?
Methods for handling fluctuations in freight rates
Incorporating spot prices into long term contracts
Can freight value within a CFR price give suppliers a competitive edge?
4 - Are further Russian export increases set to be limited by finance raising sanctions?
Status of coal production output by Russian suppliers
Will the Mansky tunnel and second Baikal-Amur track direct greater exports into Asia and what does this mean for European supply?
5 – To what extent can Australia's take or pay contracts be renegotiated and future for Australia's export supply
How much renegotiation is being done between producers and ports?
Will the Galilee basin realistically come online?
Followed by a summary of key conclusions by the roundtable leaders
About Coaltrans Conferences
Coaltrans Conferences, a division of financial publisher and events group Euromoney Institutional Investor, is a leading event provider to the commodity industry worldwide.
For more information, please visit event website www.coaltrans.com/world-coal-conference/details.html