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Abstract
The Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), is one of the three flexibility
mechanisms under the Kyoto Protocol (KP), 1997 that enables developing
countries to assist developed countries in meeting their green house
gas (GHG) emissions reduction targets. Of proposed GHG abatement
projects, those involving renewable energy (RE) are the most promising
because they generate clean energy and promote sustainable development.
This paper attempts to provide an overview of CDM and the potential
of RE projects under CDM, in India.
The Clean Development Mechanism
What is the Clean Development Mechanism ?
The Climate Change Convention
This is a United Nations agreement to stabilize greenhouse gases
in the atmosphere, at a level that would prevent dangerous changes
to the climate. The Convention on Climate Change was agreed upon
at the United Nations Conference on Environment and Development
(UNCED) in Rio, 1992. To date, 186 countries have ratified the convention.
To put the convention into operation, a protocol was outlined in
Kyoto in 1997. The most important aspect of the Kyoto Protocol is
its legally binding commitments for 39 developed countries to reduce
their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by an average of 5.2 % relative
to 1990 levels. These emission reductions must be achieved by 2008-2012:
the so called 'first commitment period'. Developed1 countries with
emission reduction targets are called Annex 1 countries, whereas
those without targets are the non-Annex 1 countries. The Kyoto Protocol
allows developed countries to achieve their targets in different
ways through 'flexibility mechanisms'. These include:
¢ Emissions Trading
(trading of emission allowances between developed nations);
¢ Joint Implementation
(transferring emission allowances between developed nations, linked
to specific
emission reduction projects); and
¢ Clean Development Mechanism (CDM).
The CDM is the only flexibility mechanism that involves developing
countries. It allows developed nations to achieve part of their
reduction obligations through projects in developing countries that
reduce emissions or 'fix' or sequester CO2 from the atmosphere.
The CDM has two key goals:
¢ To assist developing countries that host CDM projects to
achieve sustainable development;
¢ To provide developed countries with flexibility for achieving
their emission reduction targets, by allowing them to take credits
from emission reducing projects undertaken in developing countries.
The rationale of the CDM is that GHGs being global in nature, can
be reduced anywhere in the world with the same effect, so the CDM
allows these emissions reductions to take place where it is cheapest/most
cost-effective to do so.
The greenhouse gas benefits of each CDM project will be measured
according to internationally agreed methods and will be quantified
in standard units, to be known as 'Certified Emission Reductions'
(CERs). These are expressed in tonnes of CO2 emission avoided (i.e
1 tonnes or 1000 kgs of CO2 is equivalent to one CER). Other GHGs
(like methane) will be converted into CO2 equivalent terms for the
purpose of common unit. When the Kyoto Protocol becomes fully operational,
it is anticipated that these 'carbon credits' will be bought and
sold in a new environmental market; in fact, they are already becoming
a commodity.
How does CDM work ?
The main elements of the Bonn Agreement with regard to the CDM
are as follows (ENB, - 2001):
(i) Establishment of the CDM executive board. (CDM - EB)
(ii) Sinks to be allowed (but only afforestation and reforestation,
subject to a cap of 1% base
year emissions, times five).
(iii) No eligibility for nuclear power.
(iv) Host country prerogative to develop sustainable development
criteria.
(v) CDM funding to be additional to Official Development Assistance
(ODA).
(vi) Small scale projects to have simplified procedures.
General attributes of the CDM
Any project activity starting after January 1, 2000 will be eligible
for registration and earn CERs if it meets the interim criteria
for CDM projects agreed to during COP 7 held in Marrakech. Final
rules and modalities for the CDM were approved during COP 8 held
in October 2002 in New Delhi.
To use the CDM, certain procedures will have to be followed and
approvals obtained. There are also several ways that a company can
participate in the CDM. It can invest directly in a project and
receive a return in the form of CERs. Depending on the financial
structure of the deal, it may also receive a financial return. Alternatively,
a company can simply agree to purchase CERs as they are produced.
This reduces the risk to the buyer of CERs, but will come with a
higher price tag.
Special simplified procedures were developed to make approval and
implementation of the following types of small-scale CDM projects
easier, termed Fast Track projects :
¢ Renewable energy project activities with a maximum output
capacity equivalent of up to 15 MW;
¢ Energy efficiency improvement project activities that reduce
energy consumption on the supply and/or demand side by up to the
equivalent of 15 GWh per year; and,
¢ Other project activities that both reduce the anthropogenic
emissions by sources and that directly emit less than 15 kilotonnes
of carbon dioxide equivalent annually.
Basic rules and procedures governing CDM projects
Real GHG Emissions Reductions
To qualify for credits, GHG emissions from a project activity must
be reduced below those that would have occurred in the absence of
the project. Without this "additionality" requirement,
there is no guarantee that CDM projects will create incremental
environmental benefits, contribute toward sustainable development
in the host country, or play a role in the ultimate objective of
stabilizing atmospheric GHG concentrations.
Any CDM project therefore requires the estimation of 'baseline'
emissions - ("those without the project, less the actual emissions"
that will occur after a project has been implemented.
CDM Project Cycle and Responsible Entities
Each CDM project must follow a prescribed process to earn certified
emissions reductions. A typical CDM project would have to go through
the following process cycle in which EB, Operational Entity , Host
country would play their respective roles. This cycle also indicates
the role of the CDM project promoter.
CDM Project Cycle
Activity |
Definition |
Responsible Entity |
Project Development |
Developing a CDM project |
Project Promoter |
Project Design Document |
Developing a CDM - PDD |
Project Promoter |
Validation |
Independent evaluation of PDD, including
calculations of baseline emissions and estimated project emissions |
Operational Entity |
Host Country Approval |
Approval from Host government - Mandatory |
Project Promoter & Host Government |
Registration |
Formal acceptance of a validated PDD |
Executive Board |
Project Implementation & Monitoring |
Commissioning & operation of the CDM
project and measuring & recording project performance related
indicators/parameters |
Project Promoter |
Verification |
Periodical independent review of monitored
GHG reductions |
Operational Entity |
Certification |
Written assurance on the actual GHG reductions
verified |
Operational Entity |
Issuance of CERs |
Issual of Certified Emission Reductions
(CER), based on OE's certification |
Executive Board |
Eligibility to Participate in the CDM
CDM credits will only be granted to national governments and companies
in Annex 1 countries, that have ratified the Kyoto Protocol.
There is no legal limit or ceiling on the number of CDM credits
that an Annex I country can use to meet its Kyoto reduction target,
however, individual countries may place their internal limits or
targets. For example, The Netherlands has stated that its goal is
to achieve their GHG reduction through domestic action measures
by 50 % and Canada has stated that its goal is to achieve a majority
of its GHG reduction through domestic measures.
Crediting Period for CDM Projects
Credit for CDM projects will be allowed only after entry into force
of the Protocol, which is expected in late 2003 due to the delay
in ratification of the protocol by Russia. Project activities initiated
after January 1, 2000 may be eligible for validation provided they
are registered by December 31, 2005, and they meet all the CDM provisions.
Emissions reductions in CDM projects may only be claimed for a maximum
of 10 years without reappraisal of the project baseline, or for
a period of 7 years with two extensions of 7 years each, provided
the project baseline is reviewed at the time of each renewal.
CDM Executive Board (EB)
The CDM Executive Board will supervise the CDM and report directly
to the Parties to the protocol. The Executive Board was elected
at Conference of Parties (COP) 7 and is comprised of ten members
of the Parties of the Protocol representing various economic blocs.
Interim procedures for implementing CDM project activities and the
role of the Executive Board were also agreed to at COP 7 (the Marrakech
Accords) so that CDM project development could begin in 2002.
Since then EB has formulated three panels namely,
¢ SSC Panel (Small Scale CDM Panel for developing standardized
baselines and procedures for small scale CDM projects)
¢ Meth panel (Panel for developing guidelines for methodologies
for baselines and monitoring plans)
¢ Accreditation panel (Panel for recommendation to the EB regarding
the accreditation of Operational Entities)
Each CDM project has to be registered / approved by the CDM Executive
Board based on the information provided by the Operational Entity.
The Executive Board will maintain a list of accredited/designated
Operational Entities who can perform the validation, verification
and certification of CDM projects.
Simplified procedures have been developed by SSC panel that will
reduce the time and cost of meeting these requirements for small-scale
CDM projects.
To help meet the costs of adaptation , the Protocol requires that
2% of CERs from CDM project activities be deposited into a designated
CDM registry (account), which is administered by the Executive Board.
To cover the administrative costs of the CDM-EB, an initial administration
fee at registration stage (Registration Fee) is charged from the
project proponent. The amount of this funding varies between USD
5,000 to 30,000 based on the quantum of CERS (15,000<>2,00,000)
generated. However this registration fee will be deducted from the
share of proceeds for administration, due at the issuance of CERs.
Designated Operational Entity
Validation, verification and certification activities are essentially
have to be carried out by an independent party known as an Operational
Entity (OE). These operational entities will typically be current
private companies such as auditing, accounting, consulting and law
firms that are capable of conducting credible independent assessment
of emission reductions.
It is an entity accredited by the EB and subsequently designated
by the COP to validate proposed CDM project activities and to verify
and certify GHG reductions. The same OE can perform validation and
verification & certification with the sole objective of reducing
the overall transaction cost .
Host Government & Sustainable development
The specific text adopted for the sustainable development objectives
is as follows:
"The COP agrees that it is the host Party's prerogative to
confirm whether JI/CDM project activities assist in achieving sustainable
development (ENB,2001)."
Developing countries wishing to host CDM projects need to put in
place the necessary institutional mechanisms for approving CDM projects
and ensuring their compatibility with national sustainable development
goals and strategies. All countries wishing to participate in the
CDM must develop a National Authority (NA) to evaluate and approve
the projects.
Although the international process has given general guidelines
on baselines and additionality, each developing country has the
responsibility to determine the national criteria for project approval.
These criteria should comply with the requirements defined by the
COP, but should also define the national requisites and priorities
for sustainable development. It is important that the evaluation
and approval process be transparent and efficient.
Any CDM national authority would perform regulatory and promotional
roles. Evaluation and approval of CDM projects is the centrepiece
of the regulatory function of the NA. The evaluation and approval
process would assess whether potential projects contribute to sustainable
development in the host country in addition to emission reductions.
The second type of functions, which an NA may choose to perform
are those of a promotional nature, centred around capacity building
and marketing, designed to meet the specific needs of the host country.
NA may offer capacity building opportunities in the following areas:
1) project identification and formulation 2) baseline definition
3) quantification of emissions reductions and 4) monitoring project
performance.
The Ministry of Environment and Forests (MOEF), the nodal ministry
of the Indian government for climate change related activities has
already announced interim criteria for eligibility of projects under
CDM.
The MOEF is in the process of establishing the NA for CDM projects.
The host country approval process also includes consultation with
local stakeholders, whose comments must be considered before the
CDM project is submitted for approval. In addition, a host country,
upon review of a preliminary project proposal, may require an environmental
impact assessment (EIA), which will also have to be completed before
the project can proceed.
Transfer of technology and know-how
The transfer of environmentally safe and sound technology to developing
countries via CDM projects is both crucial and required as it furthers
the objective of sustainable development. Local knowledge and circumstances
should be key factors in determining the chosen technology.
However in certain projects, in the absence of CDM itself, state-of-the-art
and indigenous technologies have been already employed. In those
projects, emission additionality and financial additionality alone
can be evaluated.
Project Promoter
The project promoter normally belongs to the private sector (other
sectors include the public sector, NGOs etc.,).CDM projects developed
by these promoters would require additional procedures to be completed
for earning credits for CERs. These additional procedures lead to
additional expenditure (viz., transaction cost). Though these process
results in an additional revenue for the project, one would prefer
simplified & less bureaucratic procedures and low transaction
cost for developing baselines, business proposal; carrying out validation,
monitoring, verification and certification.
Trading of CDM Credits
CERs earned from CDM projects are a marketable commodity that may
be exchanged with other corporations or national governments. A
company that has earned CERs may also choose to bank them in order
to be traded in future commitment periods after 2012. This is useful
if the company does not require the credits in the current period
and anticipates an increase in their market value.
Renewable Energy (RE) under CDM in India
Renewable energy deserves global attention and accelerated promotion
due to its dual benefits of augmenting energy security as well as
mitigating GHG emissions.
There are various reasons for India to push renewable energy viz.,
:
¢ The inability of conventional systems to meet growing energy
demands in an equitable and sustainable manner.
¢ The large scale and negative impact of conventional energy
production and consumption on the physical and human environment.
¢ The need for meeting energy needs of an unserved population
in rural and remote areas as well as those residing on islands.
¢ Need for maintaining a properly diversified energy mix. Such
a diversified portfolio would also help in minimizing the socio-economic
impact if the supply of a particular fuel were to break down.
Over the past decade, several RE technologies have attained technological
maturity, leading to commercialization. They are biomass power,
solar energy (photo voltaic and thermal), small hydro and wind energy.
The current policy environment has been instrumental in creating
one of the largest and most diverse renewable energy programmes
in the world. The RE potential and achievements of various RETs
are given below.
Renewable energy status in India
| Source/Systems |
Approximate potential |
Achievements |
| Biogas plants (nos.) |
12 million |
3.50 million |
| Improved cook stoves (nos.) |
120 million |
35.2 million |
| Biomass power/ cogeneration |
19500 MW |
450 MW |
| Biomass gasifiers |
|
52 MW |
| Wind energy |
45000 MW |
1702 MW* |
| Small hydro power |
15000 MW |
1461.43 MW |
| Solar PV |
20 MW/sq. km |
96 MWp |
| Waste-to-energy |
1700 MWe |
22 MWe |
| Solar water heating (collector area) |
140 sq. m |
0.65 sq. m |
as
on 31 August 2002, Source: MNES
* as on 31 December 2002
MW, MWp, MWe - Mega Watt, Mega Watt peak, Mega Watt Electrical equivalent
sq.metre - sq.metre.
The focus has been on utilizing renewable energy technologies
that can help traditional fuels to be used in more efficient manner;
meet basic energy needs for cooking and lighting; and provide energy
to the rural industry so as to improve the overall quality of life
in India. RETs are also aimed at complementing and/or replacing
fossil fuels in urban-domestic, commercial, and industrial applications.
Renewable energy projects get a positive push through CDM (over
other candidate projects) because CDM projects must assist developing
countries in achieving sustainable development. According to 'Energy
After Rio-Prospects & Challenges-1997'(UNDP Publication 1997)
renewable energy and energy efficiency must both be an integral
part of any future energy system that addresses the issues of sustainable
development. Furthermore, since rural development too, is an intrinsic
part of sustainable development, RET based CDM could be a vital
means for many developing countries to meet their rural energy demand.
However, as one of the choices in the investment portfolio, RETs
would have to compete with other options, e.g. energy efficiency,
clean coal technologies, fuel switching, and carbon sequestration.
While the host country would like to ensure that the project is
in line with its national priorities, especially from the point
of view of sustainable development, the investor would look at the
most cost-effective project. Therefore, proper optimization would
have to be carried out while designing CDM projects based on RETs.
In India, as far as CDM are concerned, the Government of India
has given priority to efficient technologies in power generation,
centralized and decentralized renewable energy options, and energy
efficiency.
A study carried out by Hagler Bailey (during 1999 and before US
withdrawal) shows a range of global CDM investment flows of between
$5.2-$17.4 billion per year. It is estimated that India could collect
about $1 billion per year in additional foreign investment from
CDM (Hagler Bailey, 1999). The total investment potential for renewable
energy based CDM projects has been estimated to be about 15% of
the total technical potential, equivalent to Rs 163 billion ($3.8
billion). The overall investment potential as estimated by Confederation
of Indian Industry (CII) during 2000 in the field of renewable energy
is $ 25 billion with 60 million tonnes of carbon reductions annually.
Transaction costs
The major elements contributing to the transaction costs in developing
a CDM project includes preparation of the project idea note, baseline
document, project design document, development of monitoring emission
reductions and verification protocol, verification and certification
cost (domestic and or international consultants), CDM-EB project
registration charges and CDM-EB proceeds for the adaptation fund.
In order to minimize the above transaction cost for fast track
projects, various measures are being suggested viz., bundling of
small projects, standardized baselines, simplified monitoring /
verification and certification, unilateral CDM, longer crediting
periods, a simplified project design document etc.,
Potential RE projects
As per the Indian government, the identified areas in the renewable
energy sector are as follows:
| Wind power |
MW size wind power systems
Wind machines for low wind regimes
Better designed rotor blades, gear boxes, and control systems
|
| Biomass power |
Advanced biomass gasification technologies
MW size biomass combustion systems
High pressure cogeneration systems |
| Small hydro power |
Low head power generation systems
High efficiency systems
Portable hydro sets |
| Village electrification |
Advanced hybrid systems
RE based localized grid
Island electrification
Innovative technology packages |
| Energy recovery from wastes |
High rate bio-methanation systems
Incineration
Sanitary landfills |
| Solar |
Thermal systems for industrial applications
Solar thermal power generation
Tandem solar PV cells
Alternate material solar PV cells |
| New and alternative technologies |
Fuel cell/hydrogen energy
Electric vehicles
Ocean energy technologies |
It is clear that in India enormous and varied opportunities exist
for CDM in the field of renewable energy. However, their active
realization largely depends on the Government of India's policies
and its expeditious handling of various formalities. This is especially
so because these factors could affect the transaction cost of the
project.
Contribution to the country's sustainable development is one of
the major non-cost benefits that RET based CDM projects have over
other options. The environmental benefits would also bring many
benefits (reduction in local pollution and conservation of water
resources among others) in addition to GHG abatement. In that respect,
RET projects have an upper hand compared to other, non-forestry
CDM projects.
How are CDM projects developed ?
The CERs market has been based so far on calls for project idea
notes / project concept notes, project design documents and tenders
issued by the government of the developed country, multilateral
institutions and few private firms. They include the Carbon Emission
Reduction Unit Procurement Tender (CERUPT) programme by the Dutch
government, the Government of Finland, the Swedish Government, the
Prototype Carbon Fund (PCF- World bank), IFC Netherlands Carbon
Facility (INCaF - IFC & Dutch Government) and BC Hydro-Canada.
Based on the buyer's terms, the documents need to be prepared by
the project developers in developing countries and most of them
mandate a project endorsement letter from the host government to
draw host government participation in the initial stages itself.
Though revenue from CDM is not high enough to the make an unviable
project viable, they facilitate to leverage additional finance and
also address certain known risks in RE projects viz., Internal Rate
of Return (IRR), tariff fluctuation etc.,
The impact of revenue from CDM on RE projects, in terms of their
IRR is given below.
| Technology |
IRR |
| Energy Efficiency-District heating |
< 1.0 |
| Wind |
0.9 - 1.3 |
| Hydro |
1.2 - 2.6 |
| Bagasse |
0.5 - 3.5 |
| Biomass |
< 5.2 |
| Methane -Solid Waste Management |
> 5.0 |
Source
: PCF 2001
What can we expect as CDM evolves ?
There is today, a strong, strategic advantage in the development
of renewables for sustainable development. The ongoing momentum
of renewable energy development coupled with the geographic benefits
of resource availability provides this advantage. Since renewable
energy can satisfy energy needs in an environmentally benign and
cost effective manner while reducing dependence on the import of
fossil fuels, India is aiming at mainstreaming of renewables in
energy sector plans and policies.
The government, therefore, envisions a central role for renewables
during this century. In fact, it is expected that more than half
the energy needs of the rural would be met by a range of decentralized
renewable energy options by 2050. Furthermore, it is also anticipated
that a fourth of grid electricity would be sourced competitively
from renewables by that time. Renewable energy projects would also
be required to meet distributed and decentralized loads, whether
they are electrical or thermal.
For translating this vision to reality, the government is seriously
exploring the possibility of tapping flexibility mechanisms such
as the CDM for climate change mitigation and environmental funding
opportunities such as GEF, in so far as these are in consonance
with national policies.
From a country's perspective, both renewable energy and energy
efficiency projects are accorded high priority because they represent
supply side and demand side options respectively. However, the advantage
with renewable energy projects is two-fold. They not only help mitigate
local and global emissions, they also support the resolution of
energy security issues at national and local levels. To that extent,
renewable energy projects might assume a greater role.
In the context of CDM, determining baselines as well as monitoring
and verification could be significant barriers while designing energy
efficiency projects, especially in case of small and scattered energy
efficiency projects (for example replacing existing electrical motors
with energy efficient motors). Compared to other CDM options, RETs
may not be the cheapest abatement option but they aid the development
process in following a sustainable path and allow a variety of local
benefits. These factors could make them cost-effective for the country.
Of all the project design activities, determination and calculation
of the baseline is likely to be the most difficult. It will require
information that is not readily available. For example, knowledge
of national plans for future power development and their probability,
and information on energy use and GHG emissions in remote and rural
off-grid areas. From a financing and investment perspective, while
baselines in general will change over time, for the reliability
of financial predictions of project performance, the baselines would
be better kept static within the individual project for its CDM
lifetime. However, CDM-EB's simplified baselines for fast track
projects would benefit the RE projects with less than 15 MW capacity
to a greater deal, thereby reducing the transaction cost.
Since all CDM projects are required to meet the sustainable development
criteria of host countries, it would be required to design a suitable
sustainability screen or filter or indicators that can determine
whether the proposed project satisfies prescribed criteria or not.
At the same time this should not create any additional burden on
the project proponent.
Similarly, identification and designation of those organizations
that would carry out validation, monitoring, verification, and certification
would have to be accorded priority. The cost of monitoring and verification
(M & V) comes down substantially if the exercise is carried
out by a domestic agency rather than an international agency. Thus,
one way of reducing transaction costs is to develop in-country institutions
that can take up such tasks. For example, organizations of international
repute that already have sound understanding of CDM and related
processes and also possess the technical capability to carry out
the monitoring and verification of projects, could be designated
M & V Agencies. In such cases, the quantum of capacity building
requirements too would be minimal.
The Ministry of Non-conventional Energy Sources has already constituted
the Climate Change Advisory Group on Renewable Energy to advise
it on different aspects of CDM, especially on setting up baselines.
The private sector has also been evincing interest in such projects.
The time is therefore right for suitably formulated CDM projects
to be initiated in India.
This means that in order to take advantage of fast track projects
and the likely flexibility involved, potential investors and hosts
must be prepared with at least preliminary groundwork such as the
identification of project(s), partner(s) and other relevant matters
related to the projects, particularly baselines. The fine-tuning
could be carried out for responding to tenders and call for CDM
proposals.
Preparedness would help CDM project partners in gaining a lead
in the crucial initial period when CDM becomes a formal instrument.
Taking into account the Bonn Agreement on fast track CDM projects,
grid-connected projects could be the first ones to qualify for immediate
private sector partnership, as is clear from the case studies.
In developing countries like India launching of CDM would necessarily
have to be preceded by intensive capacity building exercise. This
would be needed at various levels - for policy makers and technical
staff of concerned government departments and institutions, private
sector entities, financial institutions, NGOs, and research/academic
institutions. This would help the host country attract CDM projects
and then gain the maximum benefit from them.
It is upon the national government and state governments to come
out with complete information such as its priority areas (in terms
of preferred technologies and applications), procedures and guidelines
for proposing CDM projects, and sustainability criteria. This will
serve two purposes :- assist the development of a portfolio of CDM
projects in the country and allow clear options for potential investors.
Where can I get more information ?
www.teriin.org
http://unfccc.int/cdm
www.carboncredit.nl
http://gsn-trade.com
www.prototypecarbonfund.org
www.ifc.org
www.wri.org
www.pewclimate.org
www.cdmwatch.org
www.cdm-connect.org
www.wbcsd.ch
www.undp.org
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Websites of UNFCCC; IEA; World Bank, Prototype Carbon Fund; OECD |